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    • CommentAuthortony
    • CommentTimeMay 31st 2012
     
    I was shocked when I downloaded air quality data from my locality.

    Both PM 2.5 and PM 10 concentrations have doubled in the past three years and show an upward trend
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeMay 31st 2012 edited
     
    Not looked at it in ages, but loads of info here about Cornwall:
    http://www.cornwall-airquality.org.uk/airqual.html

    Not sure what it means but Albert Street in Penzance has PM10s at 40 ug/m^3 as a mean, and 35 exceedences at 50 ug/m^3 for 24 hours.
    Is that good or bad?
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeMay 31st 2012
     
    Trend to wood burning stoves?
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeMay 31st 2012 edited
     
    The Free Cornish burning visitors from out of town (eg from Devon)? Still, it keeps the pasties cheap.

    Rgds

    Damon
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeMay 31st 2012
     
    It's all they Londoners shaking the dust of the city off.
    • CommentAuthortony
    • CommentTimeMay 31st 2012
     
    The worrying thing about the trend is that this last winter was incredibly warm, what would it look like if it had been a cold winter?
    • CommentAuthortony
    • CommentTimeJun 4th 2012
     
    There is a worrying increase in particulates pollution in my town over the last few years,

    Is my town any different from anywhere else?
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 4th 2012
     
    Bit hard to tell from that Box and Whisker chart what is really happening without a key to the symbols. Seems to me that the lower bound is fixed, the mean (though may be mode) is within the standard error (though could be the standard deviation), the upper bound has jumped in 2011-2012, and the extreme is slightly higher in 2011-2012 than 2010-2011, which in turn is higher than 2008-2010.
    Did they do an ANOVA on the data do you know?
    • CommentAuthortony
    • CommentTimeJun 4th 2012
     
    attached an overall plot with the smoothed mean. looks like an
    increase in the mean from 20 to around 30 at times over the 4 years,

    the increase in winter peaks looks more substantial, attached
    "PM10_winter.pdf" is a box-and-whisker plot of the quartiles (minimum,
    25th percentile, median, 75th percentile, maximum) of the winter
    values from December through to February each winter. There looks like
    a big increase in the 75th percentile and the maximum

    here is an explanation of the plot type:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Box_plot


    also attached a plot "PM10_summer.pdf" for comparison, values are a
    bit more stable although definitely increasing. (not on GBF yet)


    the increases in the mean winter values and the mean summer values
    over the 4 years are both statistically significant i.e. unlikely to
    be due to chance fluctuations
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 4th 2012 edited
     
    Never been a fan of box and whiskers, that Wiki page does sum it all up nicely though.

    Is there a lot of traffic around the sensor do you know and has there been any major changes to traffic flow?

    I always try to take the view that the statistical analysis is wrong for the data (often done as an afterthought to prove an objective), that way Type 1 and 2 errors can hopefully be eliminated. Wish I had more time to look at it all more.
  1.  
    In the UK degradation of air quality is guaranteed as a result of energy policies. A 2009 energy report confirmed the combustion of biomass would add £billions to UK health and environmental costs with cost based on anticipated hazardous pollution levels and biomass energy production far below current reality. Subsequent lobbying meant allowable combustion PM pollution levels increased by 50% per GJ becoming 30 times higher than equivalent gas and NOX by 300%. The anticipated biomass usage increases by a factor of 10 in a recent Gov report with obvious further impact consequences.
    At a recent clean energy conference our PM praised the use of straw for energy production but ignored the reality that straw presents special air pollution problems. High chlorine, nitrogen and sulphur content is a precursor to formation of serious hazards in the emissions. Sulphur dioxide is a special external damage concern and straw combustion is scheduled to create SO2 burden per unit of useful power out 70 times higher than equivalent gas. A recent bioenergy strategy document states the need for a 65% increase in the plough back of agricultural waste to condition the soil and reduce our reliance on fossil fuel based fertiliser. This brings impact on straw sustainability and adds to energy policy concerns.
    A report published by the Environment Agency confirms that use of straw for energy production can increase GHG creation to a level 35% higher than equivalent fossil fuel. Denmark reports “loose” emissions regulations to allow use of straw combustion , they also report the highest incidence of cancer in the World. Could there be a link?
    I highlight straw combustion impact because it displays the failures to embrace common sense and BAT in order to minimise air quality degradation. It questions the quality of advice given to our decision makers, the motivation for their advice and the reasoning of our decision makers especially with regard to “clean” energy.
    Germany has far more stringent emissions regs. Compare EfW plant pollution output, UK incinerator/EfW pollution volume is typically 4000 cubic metres per tonne higher than German equivalent with UK hazardous content far higher. These plants are often positioned adjacent to conurbations and even placed upwind creating further concerns.
    RHI will automatically bring air quality problems with increase in biomass burning where cleaner alternatives should be employed. I note a sponsored article on the role of biomass recommends that factories and farms with access to a variety of waste material should consider biomass boilers.
    We surely need serious scrutiny of burning proposals and all the consequences resulting from our energy decisions. I realise this forum is basically geared to domestic energy issues but feel we should be aware of the hazards at all levels and size of emissions production.
    One point is the fact that if Steamy is experiencing air quality problems then we are “doomed” because hazardous fine particles are known to easily carry 200km before grounding.
    Tony – The above is your fault for disturbing my GBF hibernation by again raising a very thought provoking question. Rgds Brian
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 4th 2012
     
    I wish I could find a definitive figure for what is the normal 'no pollution' air quality.
    Guess it is impossible to tell now that burning is going on almost everywhere, including 'natural' burning like forest fires and volcanoes.
    Be nice to know the geo-spacial-temporal distribution as well.
    • CommentAuthormarktime
    • CommentTimeJun 4th 2012
     
    This is from a monitor station situated on a nine storey building in the centre of Santa Cruz de Tenerife. Data is measured particulate pollution from traffic and ship emisions in the harbour.
    • CommentAuthormarktime
    • CommentTimeJun 4th 2012 edited
     
    These graphs show that black carbon (BC) and ultrafine particles (PU) are correlated with traffic density.

    Note no such correlation with PM 10 or PM 2.5. These may be derived from ship emissions in the harbour as there is no industry around the capital.
      aerosols_sco_bc_puf.gif
    • CommentAuthormarktime
    • CommentTimeJun 4th 2012
     
    The spike is dust from Sahara which comes with a hot wind known as the Calima.
      aerosols_sco_sahara1.gif
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeJun 4th 2012
     
    Well, since they moved the Paris-Dakar rally it can't be blamed for the spike either! :wink:
    • CommentAuthormarktime
    • CommentTimeJun 4th 2012
     
    And we can't blame Mr. Milligan: he told us he was ill.:wink:
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeJun 4th 2012
     
    :bigsmile:
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeJun 4th 2012
     
    Hmmm. So what's\ this all about then?

    http://aqma.defra.gov.uk/
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 4th 2012
     
    It is the spacial data for a region.
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 5th 2012 edited
     
    And, after a night dreaming about it, you can make a map.
    This one is the PM2.5s
    And it looks like Devon is causing the problem :devil:

    Edit: Just looked at the number and the colour code and it seems that agriculture is the real problem, shall see if I can change the scale coding to make it red for bad and green for good. :shamed:
    Still think that Devon is a problem though :wink:
      Cornwall PM2.5.jpg
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 5th 2012
     
    Can clearly see Falmouth and St Austell
      Cornwall PM2.5 Green is Good.jpg
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 5th 2012
     
    And now PM10s
      Cornwall PM10s.jpg
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeJun 5th 2012
     
    Nick, had this more in mind...

    "If a local authority finds any places where the objectives are not likely to be achieved, it must declare an Air Quality Management Area there. This area could be just one or two streets, or it could be much bigger.

    Then the local authority will put together a plan to improve the air quality - a Local Air Quality Action Plan."

    Expected to hear something from Brian on that link.
  2.  
    Steamy- Theoretically Cornwall should enjoy good air quality possibly among the best in the UK . Transboundary impact appears minimal and wind rose data would indicate likely level of pollution contribution from Devon. I note the Scottish annual PM10 average is detailed at 18 micrograms per cubic metre with PM 2.5 average 12. I would have thought your air quality should compare favourably with Scotland.
    The Air Quality Strategy document for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland indicates man made particulate pollution will cost some £14.7 billion per year by 2020, the document also refers to the report that there is no safe limit for particulate pollution which confirms the need is reduction. Our energy decisions will sadly add to the problem especially with the recent decision to increase dirty renewable production by a factor of 10. Choosing to subsidise dirty renewables is shown to create fundamental pollution per TWh of useful power per year equating to exhaust emissions from diesel traffic travelling 35 million km/day. We are already under threat of serious EU fines for failing to reduce air quality damage so why deliberately subsidise air quality degradation knowing it will result in damage creating further cost implications.
    Combustion energy processes create constant 24/7 pollution but traffic impact is cyclic with low level periods, we demonise traffic pollution but appear to ignore the full impact energy decisions.
    Air strategy doc. link
    http://www.official-documents.gov.uk/document/cm71/7169/7169.pdf
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 5th 2012
     
    I just like the way you can see the A30 as a thin ribbon of red :cool:
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeJun 6th 2012 edited
     
    Brian, that's the weirdest download I've ever had. It comes out (here at least) with the same page shown on opposite sides of the page, with one version the right way up and the other upside down! :confused:

    (Sorted by copying and pasting the url.)
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 6th 2012 edited
     
    Got lots of charts on it that look the same either way :wink:

    But you can see the A30 and the A38 on my chart :cool:
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeJun 6th 2012
     
    The red line is the flow of life-giving money brought in by all they incomers. :bigsmile:
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 6th 2012 edited
     
    Too right

    Here is a promotional video all about 'my country', well his really :cool:

    http://clottedrock.ning.com/video/visit-cornwall
   
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