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			<title>Green Building Forum - Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
		<link>https://www.greenbuildingforum.co.uk/newforum/comments.php?DiscussionID=14100&amp;Focus=245909#Comment_245909</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Aug 2016 23:16:35 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>Flubba</author>
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			<![CDATA[If offshore wind, all of it, is on course to deliver 10% then Hinkley Point C at "only" 7% seems pretty reasonable given that it's probably a more dependable and controllable source of power. The problem with HPC is that it's the old nuclear fuel cycle originally derived from the need to develop nuclear weapons rather than any of the proposed alternatives. Well that and it being owned, controlled and probably constructed by foreign rather than domestic interests...]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Aug 2016 11:31:50 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>fostertom</author>
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			<![CDATA[More on offsea wind strike price: WindEconomics: Offshore industry aims for â‚¬80/MWh by 2025<br /><a href="http://www.windpowermonthly.com/article/1403506/windeconomics-offshore-industry-aims-%E2%82%AC80-mwh-2025" target="_self" rel="nofollow">http://www.windpowermonthly.com/article/1403506/windeconomics-offshore-industry-aims-%E2%82%AC80-mwh-2025</a><br />today Â£100 worldwide (and in UK shallow waters knock Â£10 off that) and falling for each incremental new windfarm, relative to hinkley Â£92.50 and rising to the 'go' date then a fixed millstone for 35yrs.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Aug 2016 11:51:04 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>SteamyTea</author>
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			<![CDATA[Tom<br />I think you are getting two different numbers mixed up.<br />The Â£92.50 is the guaranteed price that EDF will get (so 92.50 - what they sell the power for).  Then there is the build cost of whatever (Â£3 or 6 or 12 or 24bn).<br />The wind farm costs is an amortised price for the life of the farm.  So expected capital cost / expected generation revenue (in â‚¬/MWh.<br /><br />I think.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
		<link>https://www.greenbuildingforum.co.uk/newforum/comments.php?DiscussionID=14100&amp;Focus=245989#Comment_245989</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Aug 2016 14:06:54 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>fostertom</author>
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			<![CDATA[Don't think so - the article's talking about strike price trend, just same as the Hinkley Â£92.50 figure.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Aug 2016 16:11:59 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>Flubba</author>
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			<![CDATA[The cost of the energy produced, as many opposed to nuclear power would agree, is only part of the story. The 'strike prices' for HPC and offshore wind are not wildly different from each other especially in an energy market with variable prices. <br /><br />What is the point in lots of 'cheaper' energy produced by wind when it's not available when and where it's needed with little to no ability to realistically store it on any meaningful scale. Speaking of which I don't think there has been any progress on the proposed Coire glas or Balmacaan pumped storage schemes each at something like 30GWh's of storage.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Aug 2016 17:03:08 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>fostertom</author>
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			<![CDATA[V up to date bk on this <a href="https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/1781256357/ref=pe_385721_146292851_TE_item" target="_self" rel="nofollow">https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/1781256357/ref=pe_385721_146292851_TE_item</a> but even that missed new groundbreakers like<br /><a href="http://www.greenbuildingforum.co.uk/newforum/comments.php?DiscussionID=14413&page=3#Item_5" target="_self" rel="nofollow">http://www.greenbuildingforum.co.uk/newforum/comments.php?DiscussionID=14413&page=3#Item_5</a><br />It's happening far faster, at lower price, than anyone imagined. Tear up all existing conventional pessimism about intermittency, base load, battery ability, NIMBYs etc - where technology takes off vast resources follow. It will also be even more distributed, even autonomous, than anyone hoped (or feared - depending on your (ultimately) political leaning).]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Aug 2016 18:12:13 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>ringi</author>
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			<![CDATA[To do a far comparison, wind would have to be a lot cheaper then nuclear due to the cost of storage (will never be cost free) and the cost of building gas power stations for when the wind does not blow.       Hence I think the â€œgreenâ€ party and lib dems should be taken to task on why they allow their members and councillors to put up the cost of wind by being NIMBYs.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2016 09:28:30 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>renewablejohn</author>
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			<![CDATA[<blockquote ><cite >Posted By: ringi</cite>To do a far comparison, wind would have to be a lot cheaper then nuclear due to the cost of storage (will never be cost free) and the cost of building gas power stations for when the wind does not blow.       Hence I think the â€œgreenâ€ party and lib dems should be taken to task on why they allow their members and councillors to put up the cost of wind by being NIMBYs.</blockquote><br /><br />How much more gas capacity do you want. When we already have sufficient to cover UK demand with gas generators with more being built and some still in mothballs.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2016 10:13:39 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>Peter_in_Hungary</author>
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			<![CDATA[<blockquote ><cite >Posted By: ringi</cite>To do a far comparison, wind would have to be a lot cheaper then nuclear due to the cost of storage (will never be cost free)</blockquote><br />Since we are talking about storage, does the cost of nuclear include the cost of the storage of the spent fuel for as long as necessary?]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
		<link>https://www.greenbuildingforum.co.uk/newforum/comments.php?DiscussionID=14100&amp;Focus=246019#Comment_246019</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2016 12:59:10 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>fostertom</author>
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			<![CDATA[hee hee]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2016 15:17:37 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>Flubba</author>
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			<![CDATA[If the Romans had nuclear power, we'd only still be guarding their waste due to the failure to innovate and experiment. Probably due to disinformation and scaremongering enabling the failure of politicians and beancounters to approve, regulate, educate and fund science adequately.  <br /><br />Pretty much the same language and arguments being used by 'environmental' lobbyists for the past decades...]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2016 17:57:03 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>fostertom</author>
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			<![CDATA[<blockquote ><cite >Posted By: Flubba</cite>due to the failure to innovate and experiment</blockquote>You mean, trust that someone during the subsequent Dark Ages would have found a way to safely neutralise (or beneficially convert) the probably undocumented stashes of waste, rather than using it on the neighbouiring warlord?]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2016 18:31:23 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>skyewright</author>
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			<![CDATA[<blockquote ><cite >Posted By: SteamyTea</cite>Tom<br />The Â£92.50 is the guaranteed price that EDF will get.</blockquote><br />Probably already covered (I'm not visiting as often as I was), but remember that Â£92.50 was the price at the time of the agreement. Due to the built in <strike >inflation proofing</strike> indexing the figure has already increased. Somewhere around Â£102?]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2016 18:32:10 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>Flubba</author>
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			<![CDATA[It depends if you think the Romans would have developed Nuclear Power before they developed Nuclear weapons, in which case we would probably be living in an alternate reality as it's not really the natural order of things. Otherwise they would already have learned a lesson and hopefully spent the intervening centuries innovating and experimenting to expand their knowledge and understanding. If instead they had decided to go down the route of Mutually Assured Destruction then we probably wouldn't be having this conversation...<br /><br />Although the optimist in me would say that without nuclear weapons maybe there wouldn't be as much of the fear factor which stifles experimentation and innovation, many things could have went down the same path e.g. Electricity and Radio communication.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2016 20:31:13 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>Ed Davies</author>
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			<![CDATA[What â€œexperimentation and innovationâ€ do you expect to deal with irradiated steel and concrete? I can see that perhaps more might be done with spent fuel rods but, though the nastiest, those don't make up the bulk of the waste that has to be dealt with.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2016 21:47:31 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>fostertom</author>
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			<![CDATA[It's absolutely unwise, blind optimism, to rely on western-style technology continuing to progress for however long it takes to make the accelerating waste stockpile safe. It may, it may not.<br /><br />Technology-supporting political stability may continue for that unknown time, or it may not. Even short of catastrophic breakdown, society may drop back to a more basic re-equilibrium, whether enforced or gladly, which isn't capable of supporting such technology.<br /><br />All nuclear programmes stupidly ignore such possibilities, rely 100% on just one of the above cases. And equally rely on not one single mad warlord deciding to use the lethal waste that s/he controls. Considering the stakes i.e. survival of life on earth, either absolute, or in freedom from massive malign genetic mutation, this deep stupidity is blinding.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2016 22:05:12 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>Flubba</author>
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			<![CDATA[I don't know my crystal ball isn't working today. <br /><br />As far as I know the bulk of nuclear waste such as irradiated concrete and steel is generally low level waste with much more human timescales before they decay to the point of being "safe". Even then the bulk of material isn't radioactive, it's like sorting through a bucket of sand to remove the activation products which doesn't financially stack up.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2016 22:24:56 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>SteamyTea</author>
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			<![CDATA[A couple of years back, New Scientist ran an article about nuclear waste disposal.<br />There are some methods that they think can speed up the decay times (as odd as it sounds it varied with our distance from the sun), Then there were methods to allow it to 'torpedo' to the Earth Core (I liked that one).<br />Finally there was the low depth storage method, which is just political, not technical at all.<br /><br />But for the last 60 years, we have stored it pretty well, stored by the same forces that may one day have to use a valuable by product. <br /><br />Modern designed reactors also produce a lot less waste.<br /><br /><br />When I lived in the USA, I was a couple of miles from Three Mile Island, it was only when I had a day to kill before I left that it was suggested that I take a tour of the site.  In 18 months no one had ever mentioned the place but I often looked at it as I crossed the river.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2016 22:49:07 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>Flubba</author>
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			<![CDATA[I'd rather we worked toward closing the fuel cycle rather than finding creative places to dispose of the waste. <br /><br />Even with current technology waste stockpiles can be utilised as fuel reducing the activity and volume of material needing to be stored, with reprocessing and transmutation technically much more can be done. I'm not really arguing for business as usual, the once through fuel cycle, but I don't see how 1 unit of waste is really all that different from 100 units of waste the genie is already out of the bottle and can't be stuffed back in. The more immediate problem is how we provide for our energy needs while limiting the impact that has on the environment and of course many think Nuclear should be ruled out completely and that's fine. <br /><br />As with most things it's not our technology that actually limits what we can do... <img src="/newforum/extensions/Vanillacons/smilies/standard/sad.gif" alt=":sad:" title=":sad:" />]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2016 23:22:41 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>atomicbisf</author>
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			<![CDATA[Wind power is now being built for as little as 20 US dollars/MWh in America or Â£15. Now I know that some things will always be cheaper in America because of economies of scale, but the difference between Â£15 and Â£92 is just so large it's ridiculous. We need abundant and affordable electricity if we're going to decarbonise the transport and heating sectors and Hinkley is just too expensive. As a mature technology it's unlikely there will be significant decreases in price for nuclear power, in fact every incident or accident raises prices by requiring new safety features.<br /><br />I think it's telling no one is even talking about new nuclear in America as it's a non starter on cost alone. It was an avenue worth pursuing in the 20th century, but it turned out to be a dead end in my opinion.<br /><br />Ed]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Aug 2016 01:25:44 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>Mike1</author>
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			<![CDATA[<blockquote ><cite >Posted By: SteamyTea</cite>But for the last 60 years, we have stored it pretty well...</blockquote>Well, apart from the bits that maybe can't be properly traced - like these, for example: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2009/feb/14/sellafield-records-nuclear-waste And the allegedly intermediate level waste dumped in low level disposal trenches - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49_IU4wzVG8#t=38 And the 170kg of enriched uranium that may (or may not) have gone missing - http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/105564.stm And the waste that was dumped at sea - http://www.davidsmythe.org/nuclear/flowers%20commission%201976.pdf until the London Convention on dumping came into force. And the (authorised) breaching of waste storage limits - https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/may/14/sellafield-nuclear-waste-storage-safety-limit-relaxed<br /><br />So pretty well, but could do better.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Aug 2016 05:05:19 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>SteamyTea</author>
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			<![CDATA[Well yes Mike, I agree, there has been terrible management along the whole chain.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Aug 2016 09:48:39 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>Ed Davies</author>
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			<![CDATA[<blockquote ><cite >Posted By: Flubba</cite>As with most things it's not our technology that actually limits what we can do...<img src="/newforum/extensions/Vanillacons/smilies/standard/sad.gif" alt=":sad:" title=":sad:" /></blockquote>Exactly. There are a whole lot of other considerations: environmental, social, and so on. My gut feeling against nuclear comes from the way it forces/comes from are rather centralized and controlled society. The only country which has made much of a success of nuclear is France (and the sustainability of that's a bit questionable) but, compared with most western countries, they're pretty tightly controlled socially. Not in a terribly bad way but still something which most Anglo-Saxons would find uncomfortable. <br /><br />Around here (Caithness) the local industries (apart from sheep) are the decommissioning of Dounreay and a lot of wind farm building (onshore and, soon, offshore) and associated grid strengthening. Dounreay is patrolled by lots of rather threatening and heavily armed police, the wind farms and grid substations aren't. When some plutonium is to be flown out of Wick it's moved with an escort of something like 250 police (I'm told, not seen it myself). When you meet a wind turbine hub moving down the A99 (as I did the other day) all you have is a couple of police cars politely asking you to park off the road for a minute or two to let it by.<br /><br />OK, so Dounreay was a fast breeder motivated at least as much by weapons production as electricity generation. However, I've yet to see convincing evidence that there's enough uranium around for nuclear to make a significant dent in the world's <b >energy</b>[Â¹] needs without some sort of breeding and fuel reprocessing with all the associated security concerns of moving really nasty stuff around in significant quantities. There's also the proliferation considerations: if it's OK for Britain to be making and reprocessing plutonium (even for purely civil purposes) then presumably it's OK for Iran as well?<br /><br /><blockquote ><cite >Posted By: atomicbisf</cite>It [nuclear] was an avenue worth pursuing in the 20th century, but it turned out to be a dead end in my opinion.</blockquote>I think that sums it up nicely.<br /><br />[Â¹] Not just the <b >electricity</b> needs of a couple of western countries.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Aug 2016 13:27:22 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>djh</author>
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			<![CDATA[There's some interesting summaries at:<br /><br /><a href="http://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-profiles.aspx" target="_self" rel="nofollow">http://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-profiles.aspx</a><br /><br />As well as the perenially useful:<br /><br /><a href="https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/" target="_self" rel="nofollow">https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/</a>]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
		<link>https://www.greenbuildingforum.co.uk/newforum/comments.php?DiscussionID=14100&amp;Focus=246065#Comment_246065</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Aug 2016 15:04:05 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>Flubba</author>
		<description>
			<![CDATA[<blockquote ><cite >Posted By: Ed Davies</cite>However, I've yet to see convincing evidence that there's enough uranium around for nuclear to make a significant dent in the world's<b >energy</b>[Â¹] needs without some sort of breeding and fuel reprocessing with all the associated security concerns of moving really nasty stuff around in significant quantities. There's also the proliferation considerations: if it's OK for Britain to be making and reprocessing plutonium (even for purely civil purposes) then presumably it's OK for Iran as well?<br /><br />[Â¹] Not just the<b >electricity</b>needs of a couple of western countries.</blockquote><br /><br />https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TfNPP5tYaZo<br /><br />Nuclear in my opinion should be part of the energy mix if anything for science as well as actual power generation, of course business as usual in managing the fuel supply isn't going to work. Moving the stuff around is already done on a regular basis along with all sorts of other dangerous and hazardous materials often in much larger quantities without nearly the same level of scrutiny. At the end of it you end up with much less dangerous and shorter lived waste not to mention less of it to actually store and guard for that shorter timespan. <br /><br />Proliferation concerns are political, we and others happily supply nuclear technology to countries frankly more dangerous than the likes of Iran and it doesn't really seem to bother most people. Iran bothers the political classes because they don't blindly follow what is dictated to them by the old boys club that is the UN security council.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
		<link>https://www.greenbuildingforum.co.uk/newforum/comments.php?DiscussionID=14100&amp;Focus=246075#Comment_246075</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Aug 2016 19:12:05 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>Ed Davies</author>
		<description>
			<![CDATA[<blockquote ><cite >Posted By: Flubba</cite>Proliferation concerns are political,â€¦</blockquote>Doesn't mean they're not real, though. Just 'cause somebody irradiated you for political reasons, rather than technical, wouldn't be much consolation. Yes, Iran is a tricky example but proliferation in general is a difficult thing to control which would be made a lot harder if there was a lot of reprocessing going on.<br /><br />OTOH, shutting down running nuclear plants in the absence of specific safety concerns does seem nutty. Most of the waste (and any risk) is already committed to, the incremental amount from running them for a few more years is small.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
		<link>https://www.greenbuildingforum.co.uk/newforum/comments.php?DiscussionID=14100&amp;Focus=246083#Comment_246083</link>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.greenbuildingforum.co.uk/newforum/comments.php?DiscussionID=14100&amp;Focus=246083#Comment_246083</guid>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Aug 2016 22:25:19 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>ringi</author>
		<description>
			<![CDATA[<blockquote ><cite >Posted By: Flubba</cite>Iran bothers the political classes because they don't blindly follow what is dictated to them by the old boys club that is the UN security council.</blockquote><br /><br />The problem with Iran along with a lot of the middle east is that:<br />a)	A lot of the population believe that drying in the name of god is the most worthwhile thing they can do in life.<br />b)	The leaders of the country does not put much value on the life of their population, or of the solders in their army.<br />Therefore the concept of deterrents does not work well against them, so for example if they got the option of wiping out Tel Aviv in exchange for the death of half their population, they may choose to take that option.  The counties that may be â€œmore dangerousâ€ tend to care about their population, so we can use our nukes capacity to make us believe we have no real risk from them using theirs.]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
		<link>https://www.greenbuildingforum.co.uk/newforum/comments.php?DiscussionID=14100&amp;Focus=246084#Comment_246084</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Aug 2016 22:35:25 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>ringi</author>
		<description>
			<![CDATA[Remember that new nuclear power stations will generate very little waste compared to what we already have to deal with.   If there was the political will, we could have solved our high level waste problem by now, but the government is not willing to build the storage tunnel in the Lake District as some locals donâ€™t want them.<br /><br />The low level waste just need to be left for 100 years before it becomes harmless, most of it is less harmful the a normal smoke alarm!    The mid level waste takes a few 100 years to become harmless.   The high level waste is very little, about the size of one brick per person in the UK for all the power that a person would use over their life â€“ but it does need to be stored in a way making it stable for 1000s of years. <br /><br />And unless we go for many more nuclear power stations then are planned we will mostly be using up high level â€œwasteâ€ while we operate them, if we choose to rum them that way.<br /><br />However give me 500 normal size project rather then 1 large project any day, as the risk is so much lower unless the large project give a lot lower predicted cost of power.....]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
		<link>https://www.greenbuildingforum.co.uk/newforum/comments.php?DiscussionID=14100&amp;Focus=246096#Comment_246096</link>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.greenbuildingforum.co.uk/newforum/comments.php?DiscussionID=14100&amp;Focus=246096#Comment_246096</guid>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Aug 2016 08:50:24 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>Ed Davies</author>
		<description>
			<![CDATA[<blockquote ><cite >Posted By: ringi</cite>believe that drying in the name of god</blockquote>drying up?<br /><br />Are Nick and I the only ones who find Ringi's typos a source of humour? Or do others just not notice?]]>
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		<title>Is Hinkley C dead?</title>
		<link>https://www.greenbuildingforum.co.uk/newforum/comments.php?DiscussionID=14100&amp;Focus=246099#Comment_246099</link>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.greenbuildingforum.co.uk/newforum/comments.php?DiscussionID=14100&amp;Focus=246099#Comment_246099</guid>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Aug 2016 09:47:40 +0100</pubDate>
		<author>fostertom</author>
		<description>
			<![CDATA[<blockquote ><cite >Posted By: ringi</cite>The high level waste is very little, about the size of one brick per person in the UK for all the power that a person would use over their life â€“ but it does need to be stored in a way making it stable for 1000s of years</blockquote>That is an appalling quantity per person for ... how many generations? That sentence alone is why nuclear power in its presenbt form is staggering folly, a poor bet that my great great great grandchildren may die or be deformed for.<br /><br />Other than that, I have no objection to nuclear, apart from its gigantism, as ringi says.]]>
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