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    • CommentAuthorSeret
    • CommentTimeJun 16th 2012
     
    Posted By: Ed Davies
    Posted By: DamonHD...make a noticeable fraction of the FiT/export payment for new solar time-of-day based (managed by smart meters?), paid in proportion to actual wholesale rates;


    Or actual carbon intensity?

    That'd create a double effect: the grid would be motivated to buy from low carbon sources so they'd get the carbon intensity down so they could buy PV electricity cheaper.


    Actually having a bit of a think about it, anything which limited the ability to accurately forecast the output of a PV install would hurt demand, especially for big installations. At present you can get a pretty good idea from GIS data, but the more complicated you make the payments the less certainty there is. Investors don't dig uncertainty.
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeJun 16th 2012
     
    Perhaps worth a word to your mate the Minister, Damon. :wink:
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeJun 16th 2012 edited
     
    Ed: I am assuming that wholesale rates and carbon intensity will become increasingly closely coupled for various reasons, and in effect the export price is currently being tied to wholesale crudely to appease the generators, so retaining that link is likely to keep them happy and keep the PV market sane in good ways. And last I heard I don't think that (for example) MacKay even thought that my live intensity measure was real/useful, so maybe that's an indirection too far from the actual market to be acceptable.

    But yes, ideally. The premium should be for displacement of carbon-intense generation. And keeping output flatter reduces ff inputs to balancing/peaking support.

    Rgds

    Damon

    PS. Sorry if this thread hijack is too far: we can start another...
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 16th 2012
     
    Posted By: DamonHDPS. Sorry if this thread hijack is too far: we can start another...

    Have we started another?

    If not here are some of my thoughts about integrating PV into the grid.

    As we all know, at about 6-7AM the demand starts to rise, peaking between 9-10AM, it settles down a bit until about 4-5PM, sometimes rising a bit after and sometimes gradually settling down to the night time base.

    So if we want to integrate PV we either have to incorporate more East facing (but only really useful during March to October), and put a bit of West facing in (again only useful during March to to October).
    Loads of South facing to displace FF generation during the day.
    One way to pay for it would be to either pay for MWhs delivered storage, any sort as long as it is electricity, inefficiency then come down the operator of the storage plant. Another would be to have a fixed price that varies during the day, so high at peak demand times, lower during the day.
    Or we could just open up the market and allow anyone to sell what they think they can supply at the best price they can get, but accepting a fine if they do not supply.
    The two biggest problems are over and under supply, matching supply is never really a problem.

    If the PV industry and the National Grid were to take PV seriously then any incentives would be targeted at the large scale 'professional' generators, not at the domestic level.
    Much easier to get 20 GW installed with 5 to 10 MW systems (2000 to 4000 'farms') than 10 million, 2kW domestic systems of varying quality.
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeJun 16th 2012
     
    But injecting energy right into the local distribution where it is needed *and* suddenly making millions of households become very interested in matching their demand to their generation or grid demand is what Mastercard claims to be "Priceless". It might even persuade some households to move their evening peak: we already have moved most or all of ours I think.

    Rgds

    Damon
    • CommentAuthorSeret
    • CommentTimeJun 17th 2012
     
    Posted By: DamonHDIt might even persuade some households to move their evening peak: we already have moved most or all of ours I think.


    How do you manage that? Our evening peak is caused by parents flopping down and switching on TVs and the like after the kids go to bed. We'd need storage or some bigmungous west-facing PV to make much of an impact on that.
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeJun 17th 2012
     
    Or people finding the 'eco' settings on their TV in some cases, or putting off running the dishwasher until they go to bed, having a slow-cooked meal some days rather then something whacked under an electric grill every night, etc, etc... Lots of things could contribute to cutting that evening peak.

    Just changing the timing of running our dishwasher moves ~20% or our entire daily load, even on the 'eco' program, which is a fair gouge out of the potential peak.

    (As an experiment this month we're minimising imports rather than carbon by running the dishwasher now for example with the sun shining: still avoids the common evening 'slot' after dinner that falls in the peak.)

    Rgds

    Damon
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 17th 2012
     
    <blockquote><cite>Posted By: Seret</cite>Our evening peak is caused by parents flopping down and switching on TVs</blockquote>
    What an unusual household, most houses have them on 24/7 theses days. What is the ROI on a 42 incher. Is use proportional to the size? (I don't have a TV).

    I think most of the evening use is caused by cooking/washing and those people with electric cars (all 900 of them :wink:).

    I try to set the washing machine for between 2 and 3 AM, this seems to be a consistently low carbon generation time.
    • CommentAuthorGaryB
    • CommentTimeJun 17th 2012
     
    We replaced a 42" old plasma (270 W) in our house with a 46" backlit LED which on eco setting averages 85W. Payback was less than 7 years!

    Our firm has been doing a number of energy audits for sports and social clubs and all the old CRT TVs can be replaced with similarly sized LED TVs to give a 6 to 8 year payback. The clubs are delighted because the energy efficiency funding is paying for their replacement.
    • CommentAuthorSeret
    • CommentTimeJun 17th 2012
     
    Posted By: SteamyTea
    I try to set the washing machine for between 2 and 3 AM, this seems to be a consistently low carbon generation time.


    Cold wash during the day when PV is available then onto the line to dry in summer for me. Reckon it vary rarely has to import to get washing done in the summer. Winter is a different story as we use the dryer.

    We wash dishes by hand, and we do use a slow cooker a reasonable amount, so it doesn't sound like we've got a lot of scope for cutting our evening use unless there's anyone else with cunning ideas?
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeJun 17th 2012
     
    We'd need to know the details of your typical load curve to help you more: but it sounds like you're doing many of the right things. Just try to avoid doing anything non-essential (to the chillax process in this case) between about 6pm and 9pm. Pre-chill the wine/beer, turn off anything else that you can, don't have your TV overbright. You could of course avoid watching TV at all in that interval, which is my preferred option!

    (Note: just "not importing" is not the same as eliminating a load of course once you're microgenerating, since you're not allowing export of energy to avoid generation and flows elsewhere on the grid.)

    Rgds

    Damon
    • CommentAuthorSeret
    • CommentTimeJun 17th 2012 edited
     
    Posted By: DamonHD
    (Note: just "not importing" is not the same as eliminating a load of course once you're microgenerating, since you're not allowing export of energy to avoid generation and flows elsewhere on the grid.)


    Of course, but if it's an essential load (those dirty clothes aren't going to wash themselves) then it's a no-brainer to make hay while the sun shines.

    Importing is bad. Did you know you actually have to PAY for that stuff!

    My main focus lately has been on reducing base load overnight. Reckon I've managed to shave about 40W off for 8 hours, which will do nicely.
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeJun 17th 2012
     
    Arguably the carbon footprint is lower if you do it at when grid intensity is lowest, usually in the wee hours. That's why we usually do it then. But lots of people look at me blankly when I point out that minimising footprint is not always the same as minimising bills with microgeneration; here is one example.

    Rgds

    Damon
    • CommentAuthorSeret
    • CommentTimeJun 17th 2012 edited
     
    Posted By: DamonHDArguably the carbon footprint is lower if you do it at when grid intensity is lowest, usually in the wee hours. That's why we usually do it then. But lots of people look at me blankly when I point out that minimising footprint is not always the same as minimising bills with microgeneration; here is one example.

    Rgds

    Damon


    That's to be expected though, I think you'd admit that valuing carbon over money is an unusual viewpoint. If you give people the choice between a significant cost saving and a small (or at least difficult to quantify) carbon saving I think I know which side most people will come down on. The idea of viewing their export as an asset would be alien to most people, most see it as a lost opportunity, and the financial structure of the FIT rewards that viewpoint.

    On top of that I think few people would even be aware that the grid carbon intensity changes during the day.
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeJun 17th 2012 edited
     
    So, if export payment were in part linked to live wholesale rate or carbon intensity c/o smart metering, all the ducks would line up...

    (I had an interesting experience when the 10:10 people called me up and after I explained the likely carbon savings of the order of 10s of kgs CO2e per year, once you'd done everything else, I never heard from them again... At our current levels of even non-netted CO2e emissions at home it is just about significant, whereas routinely upending the whole day to catch some sunshine to schedule an appliance to save 15p seems less compelling at the moment, which is why we need to automate it and make it very very easy to DoTheRightThing...)

    Rgds

    Damon
    • CommentAuthorSeret
    • CommentTimeJun 17th 2012
     
    Do you not think a fluctuating rate would baffle people? I think anything more complex than Economy 7 would leave a lot of people struggling to decide whether to consume now or later. Make it too hard and people will start to opt out.

    I would favour a simpler approach: I think just fitting displays showing import/export and switching around the values of FIT and export rate would have much the same effect for domestic PV.
    • CommentAuthorjms452
    • CommentTimeJun 18th 2012
     
    Ed Davies:
    'Doesn't necessarily have to be rotten but, unless the floor is already insulated, I'd suggest that suspended is a big plus'

    Agree - Rotten just hopefully saves you some cash, avoids ripping out a totally good floor and feature suspended floors with limited access are a really a pain!

    Luckily our house was council refurbished 30 years ago and they had the foresight to put in 100mm EPS under the floor slab - proving it to energy assessors is a different matter though!
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeJun 18th 2012
     
    Seret: people deal with astonishing complexity in some of EDF's French retail schemes, for example, and US utility users also seem to cope with ToD rates. And in any case that's what a price signal is *for*: to get people to think about and where possible move (or cut) their consumption. The relationship doesn't have to be in lockstep with wholesale rates in the energy exchange with per-millisecond updates, but can be smoothed and constrained while remaining useful.

    Rgds

    Damon
  1.  
    I am still disappointed that, in response to the OP ('Moving house-what should I look for?') no-one has replied ''a structural engineer''. Sorry. I'll.... Oh no, I've already got it on. :bigsmile:
    • CommentAuthorJoiner
    • CommentTimeJun 18th 2012
     
    Sure it's yours?
  2.  
    Nope, but it's a nice one.
    • CommentAuthorSeret
    • CommentTimeJun 18th 2012 edited
     
    Posted By: DamonHDAnd in any case that's what a price signal is *for*: to get people to think about and where possible move (or cut) their consumption.


    It'd be interesting to see how effective it was if implemented well.

    Personally I think the process would show it's best results when automated. With µgen, a house full of networked appliances and some storage on-site (even if just EV) all managed from a single point you could optimise the nuts off it.

    Effectively its a process control issue, and humans suck at that. Design them out of the loop.
    •  
      CommentAuthorDamonHD
    • CommentTimeJun 18th 2012
     
    I reckon most people could halve their energy consumption of which about half can come from better tech and half from behaviour change.

    Nothing much will help you if you choose to do things in a bloody-mindedly unhelpful way and all the sexual selection is still towards showing how much you can waste; if you're trying to DoTheRightThing(TM) and the tech is there to help you and the social kudos is from saving not expending then I think it should be relatively painless.

    I'd like more tech support to help with some of the trickier routine management, and I'm pretty well informed and motivated, IMHO.

    So we cannot make the problem go away with technology, though it can help.

    Rgds

    Damon
    • CommentAuthorSeret
    • CommentTimeJun 18th 2012
     
    Controlling consumption is difficult though. I don't think anyone's really cracked that one. Like you say, it requires changing attitudes and behaviour.

    Tbh, I think the only way to control the public's behaviour en masse is through their wallets. It would be nice if everybody drove at the speed limit out of concern for the safety of other people on the roads (if not their own), but the only really effective way to slow them down is to plant a speed camera and sting them for speeding.
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 18th 2012
     
    Posted By: DamonHDI reckon most people could halve their energy consumption of which about half can come from better tech and half from behaviour change.

    I did
    •  
      CommentAuthorJSHarris
    • CommentTimeJun 18th 2012
     
    <blockquote><cite>Posted By: Seret</cite>Controlling consumption is difficult though. I don't think anyone's really cracked that one. Like you say, it requires changing attitudes and behaviour.

    Tbh, I think the only way to control the public's behaviour en masse is through their wallets. It would be nice if everybody drove at the speed limit out of concern for the safety of other people on the roads (if not their own), but the only really effective way to slow them down is to plant a speed camera and sting them for speeding.</blockquote>

    I agree wholeheartedly. A few zealots will voluntarily change their behaviour based on careful reasoning, but for the majority of the population it will be cost that drives them to change and reduce consumption. Our biggest problem is that energy is far too cheap, which in economic terms means it's far too readily available (assuming that the normal rules of supply, demand and price apply).
    •  
      CommentAuthorSteamyTea
    • CommentTimeJun 19th 2012
     
    There is a lot of price elasticity in the cost of energy, hence a 30% increase hardly changes usage. Main reason for that is, excluding the energy poor, domestic energy is under 10% of household income. Say energy cost is 7% of £26,000, means it goes up £10 a week. Compare that with a 0.5% increase on a £150,000 mortgage from 5% to 5.5%, that will be a £15/week increase.
    Over the last 7 years, and I have mentioned this before, my EDF standard E7 tariff has gone up less than inflation. My usage has more than halved, my house now has 2 people in it rather than one. And done that with just more thoughtful usage, a bit more insulation and blocking up holes.
    • CommentAuthornikhoward
    • CommentTimeJun 20th 2012
     
    Posted By: jms452Ed Davies:
    'Doesn't necessarily have to be rotten but, unless the floor is already insulated, I'd suggest that suspended is a big plus'

    Agree - Rotten just hopefully saves you some cash, avoids ripping out a totally good floor and feature suspended floors with limited access are a really a pain!

    Luckily our house was council refurbished 30 years ago and they had the foresight to put in 100mm EPS under the floor slab - proving it to energy assessors is a different matter though!


    back on topic

    when looking at possible houses I (prob even my wife) often have been more excited about a project the worst the state it is in
    •  
      CommentAuthorjonharris
    • CommentTimeJul 12th 2012
     
    Update: Seen somewhere interesting that ticks quite a few boxes (nice location, big garden, south facing roof, needs modernising) but it's grade II listed and in a conservation area. I'm guessing EWI is out then?
    • CommentAuthorJTGreen
    • CommentTimeJul 12th 2012
     
    Grade II listed? You don't want it, unless you have very deep pockets. South facing roof is worth nothing to you if you can't put solar on it. My mother owns a georgian house and even though the roof design (balustrade and flat 'guttering' area in front of the pitched roof) means there is space to put solar on it that is not visible from the street, she is not allowed.
   
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