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Green Building Bible, Fourth Edition
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  1.  
    Sorry: penultimate sentence was ambiguous. 'these' means excess generation or non--guaranteed supply, NOT economic applications
  2.  
    I recon there are many micro hydro sites that could be put into use. Think of all the mills that used water power in the past. There is a mill race in Belper, Derbyshire, where I live, that has been adapted to produce electricity. I doubt it will amount to much in the scheme of things but every little helps. Shouldn't HMG instruct the water companies and the Environment Agency to identify all viable sites for hydro, and pumped storage, and start work now on the building the infrastructure to exploit this resource? We aren't waiting for technology to advance here are we?

    There has to be some mileage in Tidal and wave energy, so what are we waiting for? Where are the billions going into R&D? It pains me to see the wasteful manner in which governments fritter the people's money away (Iraq, the Olympics, new Tridents subs, welfare for the bone idle etc) and yet when it comes to energy they put off doing anything meaningful and throw a few crumbs in grants etc to be seen to be doing something.

    Energy, how we reduce our consumption and secure our supplies, without causing climate change or going to war over oil supplies, should be the the number one priority of this and every government. All the best brains should be working on this with whatever resoures they need. I don't see any urgency at the moment, they just want to leave it to the next lot. I'm sick of hearing about the public services which are a money pit, always have been and always will be. Time to focus on something important Gordon. Peak Oil is staring us in the face and the Great Powers are squaring up for a fight over the last drops. Nothing is more serious that this so why is nothing serious being done?
    • CommentAuthortony
    • CommentTimeSep 4th 2007
     
    Fun, you are too pessimistic and the grid managers are reactionary. Wind rarely switches on and off rather moves in waves of differing power but only changes fairly slowly. It should be used all it can be. Grid managers must have computers and the capacity to incorporate wind power into the system.
  3.  
    I tend to agree tony, electricity load is a constantly changing (with some predictable peaks and troughs) as much as generation , so with just make the control centres work a little smarter.

    I don't think it would be to hard for wind turbines to just free wheel if you have an over supply?
    • CommentAuthortony
    • CommentTimeSep 5th 2007
     
    I would much rather throttle back a fossil fuel power plant than do that.
  4.  
    Tony & Jeff: engineers are not fools and grid operators know full well that billions are at stake in optimising grid management. Windfarm supply is a quasi-random statistical series and consumer demand is composed of seasonal, daily, climatic, and random components. When you super-impose these, the overlap is virtually 100% when windfarms form say 1% of annual demand, but progressively falls as the windfarms proliferate and the % rises. If the wind ain't blowing, there is no contributuion. When the wind blows, whether there is an excess windfarm output depends on the number of turbines and size of consumer demand. As turbine numbers rise, the probability of excess (curtailment) rises, so the more turbines you operate, the lower the average utilised output per turbine. Depending on national characteristics, if you set out to build an infinite number of turbines you find that diminishing returns sets in very quickly, and before long the latest turbine simply generates unwanted electricity. It is thought that the theoretical maximum proportion of electricity which could be provided by an infinite number of turbines may be about 40%, but this would involve enormous curtailment (unwanted power), so the practical limit is 5 to 10% - but only then at large economic cost arising from plant duplication and penal costs of stand-by generators.

    Chris: I agree with much of your comment re HMG waste. Unfortunately, micro hydro is expensive and a pinprick. There is a great deal in Scotland, vastly more in Canada, NZ, Austria, Scandinavia, S Africa, Brazil etc. Inevitably, densely populated parts of the globe tend to be far from mountains, so as in England hydro sites are virtually non-existent.

    Tidal schemes are not great generators: low and varying heads for short periods of time. You need at least the Thames falling over a 100ft cliff - but as soon as engineers propose sites all the ecofreaks protest about habitat loss etc.

    Sea currents and wave power may prove viable but thats a long term hope.

    Sorry to have to say this, but it's nuclear or freeze pdq. We need to view nuclear like fossil fuels: a temporary godsend to fuel civilisation whilst we come up with something better. With say a UN controlled nuclear global power scheme, we could have nuclear plants supplanting all fossil power plants within 25 years.
    • CommentAuthortony
    • CommentTimeSep 5th 2007
     
    You got nuclear shares fun?
    • CommentAuthortony
    • CommentTimeSep 5th 2007
     
    Once oil runs out we will need to generate hydrogen of charge up fuel cells with electricity This could be done with wind so long as we have the capacity.

    I dont like waste and nuclear waste is the worst kind but the idea of wasting wind generated electricity is not going to happen.

    I cant agree with your analysis of wind either fun sorry.
  5.  
    Tony: No nuclear investments - tho a punt in uranium mining might be a good bet! Sorry you don't agree with my analysis, but I'm pretty sure it is right; and the fact that governments are turning round to eat their own words and go back to nuclear is a clear indication of the medium term realities.

    Hydrogen may have a future but there is a long way to go before it's a viable universal solution. The history of engineering and technology is fairly clear: it takes about 50 years to move inventions from basic idea through the lab to pilot production and on to significant commercial presence, and another 50 years to reduce production costs of hardware and create associated social behaviour and social infrastructure to attain universal application eg telephone, motor car, aeroplane, railway ... even domestic electricity itself!

    Unlike all other options open to us, nuclear is an off-the-shelf solution for 100% of our electricity needs. All the risks of nuclear waste are infinitessimal compared to the millions of people killed in the coal mines or prematurely dead from smoke pollution over the last 200 years. It was said in the '60's that in the UK alone 30,000 deaths a year arose from coal-burning. I can believe it - as a kid I lived in Sheffield close by the Attercliffe district, which supposedly had the highest soot fall-out in the world. The snow turned grey overnight, and on bad days mum's washing came back from her line covered in smuts! I guess that is what it's like in China now.
  6.  
    I am in favour of nuclear power (no shares either), as I am in favour of renewables, in fact I'm for anything that improves our energy security, cuts production of greenhouse gases and makes it less likely me and my lad will be conscripted to fight energy wars over the next couple of decades...

    But what do you make of the uranium supply situation Funcrusher? Biff has made the point a number of times that we barely have the production to fuel the existing reactors never mind any new ones. What makes you so sure we can find new uranium resources to fuel new nuclear build? To me, this question is just as key to the future of nuclear power as the question of variability of wind power is to that technology and it is the question that supporters of nuclear power never want to talk about in the same way that the supporters of wind power gloss over the variability issue.

    The nuclear waste issue is not a concern to me because we already have the problem of what to do with the waste from our existing nuclear program. Ultimately, new nuclear build will just mean digging a slightly bigger hole in the ground to burial it all in. Each reactor only produces 1 cubic metre of vitrified high level waste per year, if you reprocess, which is about as big as the desk I'm sat in front of.

    I still can't believe the lack of action to address the energy issue. It looks like conventional oil production has already peaked. The brown stuff is going to hit the fan within only a few years. Once higher oil prices start to bite (and I mean much higher), can someone explain to me how the world economy will continue to grow? Surely we will go into a depression with less and less energy available each year. It will be a depression without end and we will not have the resources to make the infrastructure investments to cope with declining supplies of hydrocarbons. We are squandering our last chance to get ahead of the oil depletion curve in an orgy of global consumption and racking up debts we can't hope to repay in the process. We should be doing everything possible right now to develop and implement alternatives to oil and gas without resorting to coal burning (unless the CO2 is captured) and putting an energy rationing system like TEQs in place right now.
    •  
      CommentAuthorfostertom
    • CommentTimeSep 5th 2007
     
    Posted By: funcrusherSorry to have to say this, but it's nuclear or freeze pdq
    Or demand reduction - radically ignored. Sooner or later the entire building stock's going to be converted to low- zero- or negative-energy. It's only a matter of intense design input, plus up-front investment in major alterations, which nevertheless has quite short payback. In the process, get a totally uprated functionality and beauty in the building stock, more-or-less for free, or paid for by the energy savings. That's the building stock. Then there's commercial and industrial process heat - staggering what's exhausted to outside, still. Govt hasn't the remotest idea of what's possible - that what we talk about here could be intensively researched, brought to fruition and subsidy-applied across the board, matter of national survival, get out of Putin's grip - where's our eco-Churchill?
    • CommentAuthorchuckey
    • CommentTimeSep 5th 2007
     
    The variability of green electrical power, could be buffered by existing power stations, having auxillary hydrogen burners. As the power contribution of the green sources start to over volt the grid, the power stations absorb this by electrolysing water to produce hydrogen, which they do on a small scale now anyway for cooling the generators. When things have calmed down. The hydrogen could then be burnt, resulting in a lower coal/oil consumption. The only extra expenditure would be for increased storage of hydrogen and its generation and the burners and a meagre sum for the control kit.
    Can I claim my 10% of the £10,000,000 saved now? :-)
    Frank
  7.  
    It seems to me that only way we are going to get a reduced economic growth, reduced CO2 emissions and reduced energy loads to have "peak oil" first. Politicians respond to 30 second TV sound bites and short term survey polls, as long as the general public remain in energy, climate denial, the leaders of that population will stay in denial, Churchill was only taken seriously with the enemy was knocking on the door.
    My logic believes 'Peak oil first, sky rocketing energy prices followed market responses (load reduction) then politicians being identified by the mass population to get then out of the brown stuff. I just hope that peak oil is the answer to climate change (if coal is kept in the ground)! Necessity will be the driver of creativity
    • CommentAuthorbiffvernon
    • CommentTimeSep 6th 2007 edited
     
    I wonder whether some people contributing to this thread have not yet got round to reading the CAT report on Zero Carbon Britain, downloadable from here:
    http://www.zerocarbonbritain.com/

    The nuclear enthusiasts will doubtless be heartend by today's news of progress in Finland
    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aFh1ySJ.lYQc
    Only 25% over budget and 50% over time (so far).
    •  
      CommentAuthornigel
    • CommentTimeSep 6th 2007
     
    Supplies of uranium that are currently economically available amount to about 70 years at current consumption.
    If everyone switches to nuclear these supplies will diminish very rapidly. Much greater resources do exist but the price of uranium would have to increase 10 fold to make these large quantities economically viable.

    The worst aspect of nuclear is that it is a distraction from seeking any long term solution to energy demand and supply.
    Nuclear may be a short term solution but funcrusher is wrong to see it as a panacea.

    We need a mix of energy sources together with demand management to deliver a healthy sustainable environment.
    That includes wind, biomass, solar, and some fossil fuels.
    Take for example the potential of chp which is heavily promoted by greenpeace.
    http://www.greenpeace.org.uk/climate/solutions/combined-heat-and-power-chp
    •  
      CommentAuthorfostertom
    • CommentTimeSep 6th 2007
     
    Posted By: chuckeyby electrolysing water to produce hydrogen, which they do on a small scale now anyway for cooling the generators
    That's incredible - it's done already - not just future fantasy! But how does that cool the generators?
    • CommentAuthorTerry
    • CommentTimeSep 6th 2007
     
    Funcrusher
    Regarding your comments on the history of engineering, I think there is a fundamental difference with the immenent energy crisis.
    In most engineering advances of the past there was a need to find some viable use for a discovery and then persuade people that they needed something that they had never had before.
    In the current situation, we are used to energy - lots of it and we are adicted to it. I suspect that when the poo hits the fan there will be a lot of intense activity to come up with alternatives pdq.
    Sadly, I think that the engineering is the easy bit. It's the vested interests and profiteering that is the hold up, together with the spineless politicians.
  8.  
    Chris: the uranium supply caused me some hesitation in the past, so I took the opportunity of putting this to a senior nuclear scientist I knew well from schooldays. Academically outstanding and a very practical chap with an incredibly 'green' lifestyle: cycles thousands of milies on a tandem with his wife every year on hols.!

    I was not surprised by his response. Firstly, exploration responds to demand /price, and of course there has been no incentive for some decades to look for more uranium. Geologists have algorithms which enable them to forecast the likely undiscovered mineral deposits on the basis of the current state of exploration and discovery. The search for uranium is in its infancy, equivalent to the search for oil a hundred years ago, and current projections imply vast undiscovered quantities.

    Secondly, 'Fast Breeder' technology ( pioneered by the Uk and also adopted in Japan), though more expensive, makes the uranium which is available 60 times as productive.

    Thirdly, there are large quantities of extremely enriched uranium and plutonium which can be recovered from dismantling nuclear weapons.

    Overall, shortage of uranium is not on the horizon for say a couple of centuries. The chances are we shall simply move on to something better by then anyway, just as we have moved from wood to coal to oil as fuels without actually exhausting supplies.
    resources.

    There is I think more info on this site:
    http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/inf75.htm
  9.  
    Terry: I certainly agree with your last para! Regarding your comments about engineering innovations: I think you are confusing this with scientific discovery. Scientists stumble on discoveries, and often these have little immediate practical application or indeed never have any. Engineers only invent to solve a recognised practical problem. Engineers never 'discover', and never have to look round for a practical use for their invention. They may have to convince people it is a cost-effective advantage, or to displace rivals, but never 'find a use'. All the iconic engineering achievements stemmed from pressing human needs - and they did not need politicians, subsidies or preferential treatment to help them. Anything that does - and that includes windfarms - is not demand-led but rather being foisted on the public for private or political gain.
  10.  
    If there is a reasonable chance of there being a fair bit of uranium still undiscovered, and that seems reasonable to me given that we haven't really been looking for it for a 20 years, I think we should build a new generation of reactors. I know that isn't a popular view but I think it is a realistic one. Higher uranium prices have sparked a massive effort to find new supplies. An investment conference I went to in April was awash with uranium exploration companies looking for funding. Some of them will find new reserves.

    If we are going to get emissions down by 90% by 2050 we are going to have to use a lot less energy full stop. Demand reduction is key. However, I doubt we will use any less electricity because we will have to electrify the transport system and provide more heating and cooking with electricity as oil and gas dwindle. To provide all the electricity we need with renewables seems unrealistic to me. If we can do a third with nuclear, a third with renewable and a third with fossil fuels, capturing the carbon, that seems more realistic and achievable to me. We should push forward on all three fronts without further delay.

    I don't see why the nuclear and renewables lobbies have to be at odds all the time. I think the "Green" lobby carry a lot of "baggage" from the CND movement which is not helpful. For instance, I was disappointed to hear that a group of protesters from the climate change camp at Heathrow, which I supported, went on to picket a nuclear power station, a facilty which is helpful in the battle against climate change. Neither do I think having Bernard Ingham sneering about renewables on Question Time is helpful either. The aim here is to secure our energy supplies without causing runaway climate warming. We should see both as alternatives to fossil fuels that can make a contribution to this most important of causes.
    •  
      CommentAuthornigel
    • CommentTimeSep 7th 2007
     
    If you accept all the pro nuclear propoganda and its supposed limitless resource why bother with energy conservation.
    Nuclear is not a long term solution and accepting it removes any incentive to reduce consumption or find other solutions.
  11.  
    I don't accept it Nigel, but I think there is fair chance, given the amount of exploration that is going on, that there will be an increase over the next decade in economically recoverable uranium reserves. There will also be efforts to use Thorium and develop economic fast breeder reactors. I think there will be enough fuel to make a new generation of reactors viable, but certainly not enough to provide for all the world's energy needs.

    There is no silver bullet in energy. We have to make the best of what we have and exploit all resources we can, while at the same time reducing consumption so that developing counties can have their fair share of the energy pie. It makes more sense to me the use the nuclear fuel in countries that have good track records with safety etc and therefore leave more of the fossil fuel for others.

    Imagine a scenario where we set our faces against nuclear completely leaving ourselves increasingly at the mercy of the Russians and in 10 years time, the current exploration efforts yield substantial new finds of uranium. We will have shut our nuclear industry down and lost all the expertise that we currently have. Better in my view to keep our options open and maintain some diversity in our energy supplies.
  12.  
    The trouble with Funcrusher's firstly, secondly, thirdly and overall paragraphs is that they're, er, wrong.
    •  
      CommentAuthornigel
    • CommentTimeSep 8th 2007
     
    Chris

    I personally dont have a problem with nuclear if it were a short term requirement.
    My problem stems from the belief that if we were to go down that route it would give out all the wrong messages.
    We would it appears have a unlimited source of carbon neutral energy and we dont have to change, that would suite most of the human population even it is err as Biff says wrong.

    We need first and foremost to kick our addiction to cheap energy and then find the most effective balance of sustainable energy production.

    funcrusher is a wishful thinker happy to believe the self interested pap put out by the nuclear industry to convince us that they should keep their jobs and they can solve our energy needs on their own.
  13.  
    I can see your point, Nigel, re the perception, but this surely just a presentational issue. Some new nuclear build as part of a package that gave equal weight to renewables and coal gasification with carbon capture would not give that impression to the public. The issue of the uncertainty of nuclear fuel availability would be the argument to counter claims that we should go 100% nuclear. As the years pass, it will become apparent whether the optimists or the pessimists on uraniums supplies and enhanced nuclear technologies are right and we can trim or expand the programme accordingly.

    The impetus to conserve comes from the adoption of TEQs and energy use is much more than just electricity so we have still have to address transport use and heating etc. My fear is that we ditch nuclear for the wrong reasons (overblown fears about safety, assumptions about fuel supplies that may turn out to be wrong) and give ourselves a hopeless task in the battle to reduce emissions and cope with falling oil supplies after Peak Oil.

    Remember that HMG has a target for 2020 to produce 20% of our electricity form renewables and has been told they will most likely miss the target. Over the same period, we will lose most of the 20% we currently get from nuclear. So, on electricity, we will be standing still, or going backwards, for the next 13 years. At the same time, gas supplies will be dwindling and we will be turning to coal buring for want of anything else to turn to. This is a bad outlook all round, for emissions and energy security.

    Just to cheer us all up, have a read of this on the subject of Russia, energy security and what they are up to:-

    http://www.financialsense.com/stormwatch/geo/pastanalysis/2007/0831.html

    Just one man's opinion, but it only serves to reinforce my view that we should not be basing our energy policy on anything that come out of a pipeline from Russia.

    Would you apply the "wishful thinker" label to James Lovelock who isn't a chap afraid to dish out bad news. I attach a fair bit of weight to his views, rightly or wrongly, and he seems adamant that nuclear is the way to go.
  14.  
    Chris, your reasoning is excellent. You will have gathered that there are participants who wish to blow raspberries instead of advancing reasoned debate.

    What makes engineers diffrent from just about every other profession I have encountered is that they know there must be at least 3 solutions to every problem, that they must find them, and they must work in the real world we have. . Every other profession: doctors, lawyers, accountants etc live in a world of extensive failures or make-believe, most of which are never investigated, and where outcomes/performance are often subjective. Society does not accept engineering failures, and thus engineers must create successful solutions.

    In short, engineers have to deal with the world as it is, not the world as they would like it to be. They must, for example, consider the abuse of equipment by idiots as well avoiding irrational assumptions and wishful thinking. They also know that nothing is a panacea; no perfect solution, just the best possible compromise between such aspects as efficiency, reliability, cost, safety etc.

    The very phrase 'renewable energy' is a contradiction of the Laws of Thermodynamics and indicative of the unreal world peddled by politicians and braying idiots. Yes, hydro is fantastic when you get it, wind can make a small contribution, tidal and wave might in 50 years time offer a practical contribution. But no matter what green measures are deployed on the consumption side, a vast tidal wave of humanity in the developing world is claiming what we have long enjoyed: hospitals, universities, industries, leisure, lifting of the crushing burden of manual labour - not to mention water, warmth, sanitation and a modicum of air conditioning. All these require vast inputs of power, and far in excess of anything experienced so far and vastly greater and more quickly than potential hydro or other green solutions could ever provide.

    All technologies are ultimately supplanted, and no doubt nuclear will be too. In the meantime the choice is either world nuclear power, perhaps under UN supervision, or a vast smog.

    Finally, nuclear offers a much greater chance of energy independence for all nations, and the avoidance of current and future wars about gas and oil supplies.
    • CommentAuthorbiffvernon
    • CommentTimeSep 8th 2007 edited
     
    That's right, we can have wars over the dwindling uranium supplies instead :)

    http://www.theleaneconomyconnection.net/nuclear/index.html
    •  
      CommentAuthorfostertom
    • CommentTimeSep 11th 2007 edited
     
    Posted By: fostertomUse the wind electricity to electrolyse hydrogen from water, then burn that in turbines (or CHP plants) when the wind drops
    Anyone know what %age of hydrogen produced has to burnt in order to provide energy to compress the rest before storage? And when the compressed hydrogen is burnt, what happens to the energy of compression - would it be recovered as useful heat in a simple boiler, or could it only be recovered through expansion in a turbine or IC engine?
    Posted By: fostertom
    Posted By: chuckeyby electrolysing water to produce hydrogen, which they do on a small scale now anyway for cooling the generators
    That's incredible - it's done already - not just future fantasy! But how does that cool the generators?
    Any answer to that, chuckey?
    What %age of full-load fuel does a gas turbine burn when running as stand-by, full-speed, no-load, ready to provide instant electricity when the wind drops, at the flick of a switch/simultaneous opening of the gas tap?
    What's the calorific value of compressed hydrogen, compared with natural gas, as burnt in a turbine? Are hydrogen-burning turbines designed different from gas-burning ones?
    • CommentAuthorbiffvernon
    • CommentTimeSep 11th 2007
     
    I think it may turn out to be better to use surplus wind power to charge batteries of electric cars. The cars provide an enormous distributed power storage system, smoothing electricity demand and allowing a high proportion of variable wind generation.
    •  
      CommentAuthorfostertom
    • CommentTimeSep 11th 2007
     
    I don't see that. The total national load of car batts being charged at numerous sites at any given time would follow a smooth curve, couldn't be cut in and out instantaneously to compensate for fluctuations in renewables generation. Whereas hydrogen electrolysis, like pumped storage, at a few sites could be cut in and out instantaneously, under central direction.
   
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