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Posted By: JSHarrisPosted By: renewablejohnAs JSH was making out with the energy content of rape oil ignoring the rest of the biomass content of the crop.
If you're going to criticise, get your bloody facts right first and stop quoting me out of context in a futile attempt to discredit.
Whatever way you want to twist things, or try and discredit facts presented from multiple sources, there is no way that we have enough land area to grow enough biofuel to meet even a fraction of our energy requirements, simply because plants are pretty rubbish at converting sunlight into usable energy, full stop. Nothing we can do will change that basic fact.
Posted By: SteamyTeaJohn
Having had a second look at that Lackmann presentation, I note that there is a caveat on slide 4:
"*With strong efficiency strategy the huge increase of the total fuel demand predicted in the study of the European Commission "EU25- Energy and transport outlook to 20302 can be avoided"
On the same slide is the associated sub chart showing a 15% reduction between 2005 and 2050, not sure if he really meant to put TW instead of TWh, but it makes a difference, a huge difference.
Can you clarify that point please.
Posted By: JSHarrisrenewable john,
The fact is that you are very selective in what you choose to present; you deliberately twisted the oil seed rape quote, knowing full well that I'd already presented figures for total biomass yield per hectare, rather just biomass derived diesel fuel per hectare, to support your minority view. You also presented my later, carefully calculated, figures as a "back-of-fag-packet" one, knowing full well that I'd only applied that epithet to the oil seed rape biodiesel comment,
.
Posted By: JSHarrisI did answer it, actually, but it seems you didn't understand, or couldn't do the arithmetic......
Posted By: renewablejohnand can see your error in calculation
Posted By: SteamyTeaPosted By: renewablejohnand can see your error in calculation
And the error is?
Posted By: JSHarrisplus we would have no UK grown food or animal feedstock
Posted By: JSHarrisI've just been looking at what the biomass community have to say about energy yield per hectare and it seems that there are some sources quoting higher yields than I used. This source http://www.biomassenergycentre.org.uk/portal/page?_pageid=75,163231&_dad=portal&_schema=PORTAL
quotes 167 GJ per hectare per year for willow, for example, although willow will only grow well in areas where there are fairly high levels of soil moisture available. Wheat would grow pretty much anywhere and wheat straw is quoted as being 62 GJ per hectare, higher than I would have thought to be honest. The same goes for woodland managed for sustainable wood production, a higher figure than I would have thought of 37 GJ per hectare per year. I'm guessing these may be optimistic figures, because they are being quoted by the biomass business itself (albeit via DEFRA).
Posted By: JSHarrisPosted By: renewablejohnI suppose this will have to do as an admission of your error in your calculation quoting 250 MJ per hectare rather than 250 GJ per hectare bearing in mind miscanthus on the same table above is quoted at 225 GJ per hectare.
A mere factor of 1000 out in the calculation so land required on existing usage not 40,000,000,000 hectares but 40,000,000 which is of the same order of magnitude as the UK. If we can agree on that we can then start to have a meaningful discussion on the figures put forward by Lackmann for the German economy and the savings made in his assumptions to justify a biomass future for the German economy.
Its simply an alternative set of figures, one postulated by the biomass business and extremely optimistic in terms of yield (as the source readily admits). All farmers will know that yield varies greatly, not just from year to year but with location, nature of the soil, availability of water, average temperature etc, so there is no way that large scale biomass growing in the UK could hope to come close to those figures.
If you can get miscanthus to grow over much of the UK at that rate you're doing well! Its a crop that grows at that high rate in tropical and sub-tropical climates. UK growth estimates are around half that yield, plus it will only grow in limited areas in the UK.
Anyway, even using those optimistic figures we still need far, far more land than the whole of the UK land mass in order to meet our energy needs, so it still doesn't make any sense as a solution.
Also, I note that you still haven't given the yield for your wood pellets. Please don't be coy, some enquiring minds want to know just how much net energy per hectare per year your product can give. Once we have that figure we can see how your premise of biomass being a sustainable solution to our energy needs stacks up in reality.
Posted By: renewablejohnObviously you dont agree with the figure of 40,000,000 hectares so theres no point in having the debate
Posted By: SteamyTeaJohn
I should have been clearer, I was thinking more large scale CHP. We have had Micro CHP for a few years now, if it was so good every replacement boiler would be that sort and there would be loads on the market.
So you got your yield figures for us to see yet? Without them we can't possible estimate how feasible co-generation is at the domestic level.